PORT CALCULATOR
xG Expected Goals Calculator
Calculate the expected goals based on shot position and type in football.
What is the xG Expected Goals Calculator & How does it work?
The Expected Goals (xG) model is a statistical tool used to estimate the probability of a goal being scored from a given shot. This model takes into account various factors such as the location of the shot, the angle of the shot, and whether it was a header or not.
xG = \frac{1}{1 + e^{-(\beta_0 + \beta_1 \cdot x_{dist} + \beta_2 \cdot x_{angle} + \beta_3 \cdot x_{header})}}
var = meaning
xG = Expected Goals
\(x_{dist}\) = Distance from goal
\(x_{angle}\) = Angle of shot
\(x_{header}\) = 1 if header, 0 otherwise
xG = Expected Goals
\(x_{dist}\) = Distance from goal
\(x_{angle}\) = Angle of shot
\(x_{header}\) = 1 if header, 0 otherwise
The coefficients \(\beta_0\), \(\beta_1\), \(\beta_2\), and \(\beta_3\) are determined through machine learning algorithms trained on historical football data. This model helps teams understand the quality of their shots and make strategic decisions.
Parameters
Distance from Goal (meters)
Angle of Shot (degrees)
Header Shot
Results are for informational purposes only and do not constitute professional advice.