What is MAPE in forecasting?
MAPE stands for Mean Absolute Percentage Error, a measure of prediction accuracy that shows the average absolute percentage difference between forecasted and actual values.
How do I calculate MAPE?
To calculate MAPE, divide the sum of absolute percentage errors by the number of observations, then multiply by 100.
What is the difference between MAE and MAPE?
MAE measures average magnitude of prediction errors without considering direction, while MAPE shows the average percentage error.
When should I use MAPE instead of other metrics?
Use MAPE when you want to express accuracy as a percentage and understand the relative error in forecasts.
Can MAPE be misleading in certain situations?
Yes, MAPE can be misleading if actual values are close to zero, as it can lead to very high or undefined percentages.
How do I interpret a low MAPE value?
A low MAPE value indicates that the forecasts are accurate and close to the actual values.
What is the formula for calculating MAPE?
MAPE = (1/n) * Ξ£(|(At - Ft) / At|) * 100, where At is the actual value, Ft is the forecasted value, and n is the number of observations.