In Catan, each settlement is placed at the intersection of up to three hexes, each producing a specific resource when its numbered token is rolled.
The probability of rolling a particular number with two sixβsided dice follows a wellβknown distribution: 2 and 12 appear 1/36 of the time, 3 and 11 appear 2/36, 4 and 10 appear 3/36, 5 and 9 appear 4/36, and 6 and 8 appear 5/36. The number 7 triggers the robber and yields no resources.
By summing the probabilities of the three adjacent numbers, we obtain the settlementβs expected resource income per turn, which helps players evaluate the strategic value of placement.
How do I calculate the probability of rolling a specific number in Catan?
What is the impact of the robber on resource generation in Catan?
How do I determine the value of a settlement in Catan?
Can you explain how dice roll probabilities affect settlement placement in Catan?
What is the formula for calculating the expected value of a settlement in Catan?
How does the robber affect the strategy for placing settlements in Catan?
What are the key factors to consider when using this calculator for Catan?
Results are for informational purposes only and do not constitute professional advice.
